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The situation is even worse.

--target-version is only available for pure-Python
distributions which don't have extension modules, if you
want to restrict the installer to only one version of
Python, for whatever reason.  I could never think of a
reason, but now there is one: different MSVC runtimes used
in the target Python.

Running a Python executable to determine the MSVC runtime
does not work: First, usually you build installers for other
users, second, some people build windows installers on
non-windows systems.

I have no idea how this can be solved, except of a very old
one of mine: build and execute the installer on the target
system ;-)